The Business Conditions Survey was first mounted in the second quarter of 1987 to provide input for the Institute's economic forecasting activity. It is conducted on a quarterly basis to assist in assessing the short-term outlook for the economy..... Read more
Business Conditions Index
- Business Conditions Index rose 101.0 points against 86.4 points in the previous quarter
- Healthy sales at start of the year
- Growth in domestic and export orders
- Business activity likely to accelerate in the next quarter
Consumer Sentiments Index
- CSI plummets to its six-year low of 72.6
- Current incomes trend lower
- Financial and job outlook yawn
- Inflationary worries moderating somewhat
- Consumers to tighten purse strings
Malaysian Economic Outlook
The Malaysian economy performed exceptionally well last year, despite adverse external shocks and traumatic floods that occurred in the fourth quarter of 2014. The par excellence performance seemed like "divine coincidence", especially with real GDP growing right on the target of 6% per annum, as envisaged earlier in the Economic Transformation Program (ETP). Similarly, Federal overall fiscal deficit as a percentage of nominal GDP also hit the bull's eye, as if making a birdie, right at the 3.5% target, as committed earlier under the fiscal consolidation plan, thereby moving closer to reach the goal of a balanced-budget by the year 2020. Of greater significance, net current account of the balance of payments (NCAB) improved substantially last year, touching almost RM50 billion, boosted by a significant improvement in the external trade account. This helped to a large extent diminish earlier concerns, especially by foreign rating agencies, market analysts as well as non-resident investors about the likelihood of twin-deficit problem, which will undoubtedly take a while longer to materialise, although NCAB is undisputedly trending downward. While overall unemployment remained below 3% of the total labour force, indicating a full employment phenomenon, consumer headline inflation accelerated fast last year, touching 3.2% (2013: 2.1%), which was above the long-run average of 2.5%, on account of mostly policy-driven domestic cost-push factors.
Articles are in pdf format and are available for download.
|Di ambang negara berpendapatan tinggi - mengimbangi semula tumpuan pembangunan & pertumbuhan|
15 July 2015 - Samirul Ariff bin Othman
|Ekonomi Domestik Pemacu Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Malaysia|
8 July 2015 - Musalmah Johan
|Pembasmian Kemiskinan Perlu Dilihat Semula|
24 June 2015 - Elayne Yee Siew Lin
|Mengkaji semula peranan Pertubuhan Perdagangan Antarabangsa (WTO)|
17 June 2015 - Samirul Ariff bin Othman
See the full list of newspaper articles here
Presentations are in pdf format and are available for download.
Corporate Economic Briefing: 22 April 2015
20th Corporate Economic Briefing
Emeritus Professor Dr Zakariah Abdul Rashid
Emeritus Professor Dr Zakariah Abdul Rashid
See the full list of our presentations here
The Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) undertakes independent and high quality problem-oriented research on economic, financial and business issues facing the country and provides advice on macroeconomic management, development and future economic perspectives.... Read more
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Department of Statistics, Malaysia (DOS)
Economic Planning Unit (EPU)
Ministry of International Trade & Industry Malaysia (MITI)
Securities Commission Malaysia (SC)
Ministry of Finance, Malaysia
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The Institute's fee-based membership is open to the public and private sectors. Corporate and Forecasting Members are eligible to receive the Institute's quarterly newsletter, purchase publications and participate in all paid conferences of the Institute at a discount, and attend workshops and public lectures organised by MIER. A distinguished category of the Institute's membership is that of the MIER Forecasting Club. Membership entitles the participation of not more than one (1) member in the annual National Economic Briefing without registration fees, in addition to enjoying all the benefits of corporate and forecasting members mentioned above.
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Publications form an important activity of MIER with its dual aims of publicising the work of MIER to the public and fellow researchers, and disseminating its research findings of the Institute. These publications are distributed among professional researchers and interested individuals and through exchange between MIER and other research institutes and libraries. They fall into the following categories: monthly reports, quarterly reports, discussion papers, conference proceedings, monographs and research reports.
Available publications published by the Institute since 1986 are listed in a brochure, which is updated bi-annually and circulated widely. Copies of these publications are sold during various conferences and seminars organised by MIER as well as through subscription sales and appointed distributors.
The Survey of Business Conditions and the Survey of Consumer Sentiments are regular publications, which are released quarterly and are available on a subscription basis. The Malaysian Economic Outlook is published twice a year in June and December with two supplements in April and October. The December issue presents the new two-year forecasts, which are revised in the subsequent issues. The December issue also includes the annual revision of the long-range forecast of the Malaysian economy.... Read more
Welcome to the new MIER website, launched on the 1st of April 2009. There still may be slight errors in this site but we will be updating regularly. We hope this website will allow us to provide the public with more news and views from MIER. Please email Kala if you have any suggestions about this website. Thank you. ... Read more