The Business Conditions Survey was first mounted in the second quarter of 1987 to provide input for the Institute's economic forecasting activity. It is conducted on a quarterly basis to assist in assessing the short-term outlook for the economy..... Read more
Business Conditions Index
- BCI slides further to 92.0 points
- Sales performance deteriorates
- Sluggishness in domestic orders
- Fewer increases in export orders
Consumer Sentiments Index
- CSI falls below 100-point threshold in almost five years to 82.4 points
- Current household income deteriorates
- Abating job prospects cloud financial expectations
- Inflationary jitters soar
- Prudent consumer spending on the cards
Malaysian Economic Outlook
Empirical studies show that budget deficit and fiscal indiscipline ultimately affect macroeconomic performance, particularly inflation. This phenomenon has been so clearly evidenced in Malaysia, whereby long-delayed fiscal deficit corrective measures, although are undeniably necessary, but is now being implemented in a chained manner, one after another akin to shock therapy, resulted in overshooting of consumer prices and rising cost of living. With expectations that other measures are also in the pipeline, coupled with almost across-the-board ringgit depreciation and rising wages, the inflation genie is clearly rearing its ugly head again and could turn bigger this time around, fuelled simultaneously by both cost-push and demand-pull factors, creating an almost a perfect scenario for persistently high inflation, not yet accustomed to members of the public or rakyat in Malaysia. Inflation is expected to be higher this year and also next year (2015), on account of mostly policy-driven arising from fiscal structural adjustment measures through subsidy rationalization and broadening of the tax base by implementing goods and services tax (GST), effective on 1 April 2015. Minimum wage policy and currency depreciation, aimed at boosting exports and avoiding shrinking current account surplus provide additional sparks for rising prices and cost of living in the country.
Articles are in pdf format and are available for download.
|Plugging into the Global Grid & A Tale of Two Trade Agreements - RCEP & TPP|
23 September 2013 - Samirul Ariff bin Othman
|Hate it or love it, minimum wage is good|
21 May 2012 - Quah Boon Huat
|Made In China: Much Ado About Nothing?|
7 May 2012 - Samirul Ariff bin Othman
|What has our grandchildren got to do with corruption?|
17 December 2011 - Quah Boon Huat
See the full list of newspaper articles here
Presentations are in pdf format and are available for download.
The Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) undertakes independent and high quality problem-oriented research on economic, financial and business issues facing the country and provides advice on macroeconomic management, development and future economic perspectives.... Read more
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Department of Statistics, Malaysia (DOS)
Economic Planning Unit (EPU)
Ministry of International Trade & Industry Malaysia (MITI)
Securities Commission Malaysia (SC)
Ministry of Finance, Malaysia
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Publications form an important activity of MIER with its dual aims of publicising the work of MIER to the public and fellow researchers, and disseminating its research findings of the Institute. These publications are distributed among professional researchers and interested individuals and through exchange between MIER and other research institutes and libraries. They fall into the following categories: monthly reports, quarterly reports, discussion papers, conference proceedings, monographs and research reports.
Available publications published by the Institute since 1986 are listed in a brochure, which is updated bi-annually and circulated widely. Copies of these publications are sold during various conferences and seminars organised by MIER as well as through subscription sales and appointed distributors.
The Survey of Business Conditions and the Survey of Consumer Sentiments are regular publications, which are released quarterly and are available on a subscription basis. The Malaysian Economic Outlook is published twice a year in June and December with two supplements in April and October. The December issue presents the new two-year forecasts, which are revised in the subsequent issues. The December issue also includes the annual revision of the long-range forecast of the Malaysian economy.... Read more
Welcome to the new MIER website, launched on the 1st of April 2009. There still may be slight errors in this site but we will be updating regularly. We hope this website will allow us to provide the public with more news and views from MIER. Please email Kala if you have any suggestions about this website. Thank you. ... Read more