Business Conditions Index




GRIM OUTLOOK

  • Business Conditions Index fell to 95.4 points
  • Current Index (CI) registered gain
  • Expectation Index (EI) lost 26.2 points
  • Local and export sales outlook bleak
  • Capacity utilization rate dips further

Consumer Sentiments Index




CONFIDENCE TAKES A FURTHER KNOCK

  • CSI falls further to 71.7
  • More consumers experience financial deterioration
  • Financial and job outlook yawn
  • Better incomes expected amid a weaker employment outlook
  • Inflationary anxieties remain high
  • Consumer spending less robust going forward

Malaysian Economic Outlook


Introduction

Risk, uncertainty and volatility are the key factors undermining confidence of economic agents, irrespective which group they belong to, ordinary domestic households, profit-maximizing producers, entrepreneurs, retailers, financial intermediaries or smart and sophisticated foreign investors in the rest of the world (ROW), with the exception of risk lovers. Loss of confidence and growing anger over increasing financial difficulties, especially by low income households and ordinary citizens alike are warning signals of an economic distress. While the warm glow effects, associated with favourable sovereign credit ratings, which have been upgraded and reaffirmed at "A-" with "stable" outlook by Fitch and S&P, respectively in July 2015 disappeared quickly, new headwinds are on the way and risks remain tilted on the downside, especially on the international front. These include Greek debt crisis, which is still unfolding and China's financial market turmoil. These two countries share one common feature, that is a strong presence of Government in the economy, as indicated by a large number of state-owned enterprises and state-controlled banks and financial institutions. They could potentially trigger the worst-case-scenario for the global economy.



Newspaper Articles

Articles are in pdf format and are available for download.





Nilai Produktiviti Bekerja, Gaji Saling Main Peranan

26 August 2015 - Muhamad Aimanshah Adnan

Berita Harian

Pendapatan, Perbelanjaan, Kebajikan Isi Rumah

19 August 2015 - Mohammad Ikmal Kadir

Berita Harian

Jurang Ekonomi Antara Negeri Wajar Di Tangani

12 August 2015 - Kama Firdaus Subbahi

Berita Harian

Kesan Kemasukan Warga Asing ke Malaysia

5 August 2015 - Siti Syamila Amir Hamzah

Berita Harian

Peranan ETP Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi

29 July 2015 - Nur Azmila Awang

Berita Harian

Di ambang negara berpendapatan tinggi - mengimbangi semula tumpuan pembangunan & pertumbuhan

15 July 2015 - Samirul Ariff bin Othman

Berita Harian

Ekonomi Domestik Pemacu Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Malaysia

8 July 2015 - Musalmah Johan

Berita Harian

Pembasmian Kemiskinan Perlu Dilihat Semula

24 June 2015 - Elayne Yee Siew Lin

Berita Harian

Mengkaji semula peranan Pertubuhan Perdagangan Antarabangsa (WTO)

17 June 2015 - Samirul Ariff bin Othman

Berita Harian

See the full list of newspaper articles here


MIER Presentations

Presentations are in pdf format and are available for download.

30th National Economic Briefing: 4 August 2015

30th National Economic Briefing
Dr Zakariah Abdul Rashid
Special Topic
Dr Hj Ahmad Fauzi Hj Puasa

See the full list of our presentations here


The Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) undertakes independent and high quality problem-oriented research on economic, financial and business issues facing the country and provides advice on macroeconomic management, development and future economic perspectives.... Read more

8 - 9 Sep 3rd ADB Asian Think Tank Development Forum
Pullman Putrajaya
20 Oct Press Conference on Quarterly Survey Results and Malaysian Economic Outlook Third Quarter 2015
MIER, JKR 505 Jalan Bukit Petaling, 50460 Kuala Lumpur
24 - 25 Nov National Economic Outlook Conference 2016-2017
Click here for the full events page.

Highlighted Publications


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Quarterly Reports

The Survey of Business Conditions and the Survey of Consumer Sentiments are regular publications, which are released quarterly and are available on a subscription basis. The Malaysian Economic Outlook is published twice a year in June and December with two supplements in April and October. The December issue presents the new two-year forecasts, which are revised in the subsequent issues. The December issue also includes the annual revision of the long-range forecast of the Malaysian economy.... Read more

Miscellaneous

Welcome to the new MIER website, launched on the 1st of April 2009. There still may be slight errors in this site but we will be updating regularly. We hope this website will allow us to provide the public with more news and views from MIER. Please email Kala if you have any suggestions about this website. Thank you. ... Read more